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编扰资讯
WP, 90, 2022080900, , BEST, 0, 230N, 1460E, 15, 0, DB,
最后于 2022-8-16 05:35
被ygsj24编辑
，原因：
最新回复 (37)
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(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 23.2N 145.0E, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DISORGANIZED BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION. A 090352Z AMSR2 37GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A POORLY- ORGANIZED LLC WITH CHAOTIC BANDS OF SHALLOW CONVECTION AND NO DISCERNIBLE CENTER. A 082330Z ASCAT-C BULLSEYE IMAGE REVEALS A DEFINED, ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH A SWATH OF 20-25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN QUADRANT AND 15-20 KNOT WINDS ELSEWHERE. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED UNDER A REGION OF DIVERGENT UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 1-2 DAYS WITH WEAK DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
2022-8-9 05:58 回复 -
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(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 145.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 142.3E, APPROXIMATELY 660NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH A REGION OF SYMMETRIC DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LLC. A 090837Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH FORMATIVE BANDING BUT WEAK OVERALL STRUCTURE. A RECENT SCATTEROMETER IMAGE SHOWS A DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 20-25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 5-10 KNOT WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN BROAD EASTERLY FLOW, HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS FIGHTING THE ENVIRONMENT WITH NEAR-RADIAL OUTFLOW. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RANGES FROM LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 1-2 DAYS WITH MIXED DEVELOPMENT. ECMWF AND NAVGEM SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH 25-35 KNOT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE WHILE GFS SHOWING A WEAKER SYSTEM WITH 20-25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
2022-8-10 06:48 回复 -
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