东太平洋热带风暴“伊薇特”(10E.Ivette) 热带气旋档案

CMG ygsj24 2022-8-11 08:00 1056

最新回复 (57)
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 21
    EP, 10, 2022081312,   , BEST,   0, 177N, 1103W,  30, 1008, TD,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1011,  120,  40,  40,   0,   E,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 015, 
    2022-8-14 06:27 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 22
    EP, 10, 2022081318,   , BEST,   0, 179N, 1113W,  30, 1007, TD,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1011,  120,  30,  40,   0,   E,   0,    ,   0,   0,        TEN, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 015, TRANSITIONED, epB02022 to ep102022, 
    2022-8-14 06:28 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 23

    WTPN31 PHNC 132200
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN) WARNING NR 001//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR
    HI/130700ZAUG2022//AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
    ALERT.//
    RMKS/
    1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN) WARNING NR 001
       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       131800Z --- NEAR 17.9N 111.3W
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 111.3W
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       140600Z --- 18.3N 112.7W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
        ---
       24 HRS, VALID AT:
       141800Z --- 18.6N 113.9W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       36 HRS, VALID AT:
       150600Z --- 18.5N 114.5W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS
        ---
       EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
       48 HRS, VALID AT:
       151800Z --- 18.2N 114.9W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS
        ---
       60 HRS, VALID AT:
       160600Z --- 17.9N 115.3W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
        ---
    REMARKS:
    132200Z POSITION NEAR 18.0N 111.8W.
    13AUG22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 942
    NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
    OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z
    IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140400Z, 141000Z, 141600Z AND 142200Z.
    2. THIS CANCELS AND SUERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PHNC 130730Z).//
    NNNN
    WTPZ45 KNHC 132040
    TCDEP5
     
    Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number   1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102022
    300 PM MDT Sat Aug 13 2022
    
    Recent scatterometer data indicated that the circulation associated 
    with the low pressure area that NHC has been tracking over the 
    previous few days has become better defined within the past 24 
    hours.  Although convection is limited to the western portion of 
    the circulation, the system has had sufficient organized and 
    persistent thunderstorm activity to be classified as a tropical 
    depression.  The initial wind speed is set at 30 kt and is based on 
    a blend of the satellite-derived surface wind speeds and the Dvorak 
    classifications from SAB and TAFB.
    
    The depression is not expected to strengthen and be a rather 
    short-lived tropical cyclone.  The system is currently within an 
    area of modest northeasterly shear and the upper-level winds are 
    forecast to increase within the next 24 hours.  Although the 
    forecast does not explicitly call for the system to become a 
    tropical storm, it could strengthen slightly within the next 12-24 
    hours.  After that time frame, the vertical wind shear is predicted 
    to increase and limit any further intensification.  The official 
    forecast shows the depression becoming a remnant low by 48 hours.
    
    The system is moving west-northwestward at 9 kt around the 
    southwestern portion of a mid-level ridge over northwestern Mexico. 
    The ridge is forecast to build westward over the next day or two, 
    which should cause the depression to turn westward.  As the vortex 
    weakens and becomes more shallow, it should slow in forward speed 
    and drift west-southwestward.  The NHC track forecast is near the 
    middle of the guidance envelope, close to the model consensus aids.
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  13/2100Z 18.0N 111.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
     12H  14/0600Z 18.3N 112.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  14/1800Z 18.6N 113.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
     36H  15/0600Z 18.5N 114.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
     48H  15/1800Z 18.2N 114.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     60H  16/0600Z 17.9N 115.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Bucci/Brown
    2022-8-14 06:28 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 24
    EP, 10, 2022081400,   , BEST,   0, 181N, 1119W,  30, 1007, TD,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1011,  120,  30,  40,   0,   E,   0,    ,   0,   0,        TEN, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 015, 
    2022-8-14 12:12 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 25

    WTPN31 PHNC 140400
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN) WARNING NR 002//
    RMKS/
    1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN) WARNING NR 002
       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       140000Z --- NEAR 18.1N 111.9W
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 111.9W
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       141200Z --- 18.4N 113.2W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
        ---
       24 HRS, VALID AT:
       150000Z --- 18.5N 114.1W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS
        ---
       36 HRS, VALID AT:
       151200Z --- 18.4N 114.6W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 02 KTS
        ---
       EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
       48 HRS, VALID AT:
       160000Z --- 18.2N 115.0W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       60 HRS, VALID AT:
       161200Z --- 17.9N 115.5W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
        ---
    REMARKS:
    140400Z POSITION NEAR 18.2N 112.3W.
    14AUG22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 920
    NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
    AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
    MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
    WARNINGS AT 141000Z, 141600Z, 142200Z AND 150400Z.
    //
    NNNN
    WTPZ45 KNHC 140235
    TCDEP5
     
    Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number   2
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102022
    900 PM MDT Sat Aug 13 2022
     
    The depression has maintained a sheared appearance in satellite 
    imagery this evening. The low-level center is exposed to the east of 
    its deep convective overcast, which has a sharp eastern edge as 
    moderate east-northeasterly shear continues to impinge on its 
    circulation. The distance between the center and the cold overcast 
    has slightly increased from earlier today, and the initial intensity 
    is held at 30 kt for this advisory. This is consistent with a blend 
    of the various objective and subjective satellite estimates, which 
    range from 25 to 35 kt.
    
    Ten-E is expected to be a short-lived tropical cyclone, as the 
    moderate deep-layer shear currently plaguing the system is forecast 
    to strengthen during the next couple of days. So although SSTs 
    remain above 26 deg C along its forecast track, the shear will 
    continue to disrupt the system's vertical organization and import 
    drier mid-level air from the east into its circulation. The official 
    NHC forecast shows little change in strength during the next 12-24 
    h, followed by gradual weakening as the system is forecast to lose 
    deep organized convection and degenerate into a remnant low in 36 h. 
    The remnant low could meander for a day or so before it succumbs to 
    increased shear and drier air and eventually opens into a trough.  
     
    The depression is still moving west-northwestward (285/7 kt) around 
    a low- to mid-level ridge over northern Mexico. The vertically 
    shallow system should gradually turn westward to west-southwestward 
    over the next couple of days as it becomes steered by the low-level 
    flow. The latest NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous 
    one and remains close to the multi-model consensus aids.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  14/0300Z 18.2N 112.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
     12H  14/1200Z 18.4N 113.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  15/0000Z 18.5N 114.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
     36H  15/1200Z 18.4N 114.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  16/0000Z 18.2N 115.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     60H  16/1200Z 17.9N 115.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  17/0000Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    2022-8-14 12:13 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 26
    EP, 10, 2022081406,   , BEST,   0, 183N, 1124W,  30, 1007, TD,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1011,  120,  30,  40,   0,   E,   0,    ,   0,   0,        TEN, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 015, 
    2022-8-14 06:15 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 27

    WTPN31 PHNC 141000
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN) WARNING NR 003//
    RMKS/
    1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN) WARNING NR 003
       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       140600Z --- NEAR 18.3N 112.4W
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 112.4W
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       141800Z --- 18.5N 113.4W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       24 HRS, VALID AT:
       150600Z --- 18.5N 114.1W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       36 HRS, VALID AT:
       151800Z --- 18.4N 114.7W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
       48 HRS, VALID AT:
       160600Z --- 18.2N 115.2W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       60 HRS, VALID AT:
       161800Z --- 18.0N 115.7W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
        ---
    REMARKS:
    141000Z POSITION NEAR 18.4N 112.7W.
    14AUG22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 900
    NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
    AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
    HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141600Z, 142200Z,
    150400Z AND 151000Z.
    //
    NNNN
    WTPZ45 KNHC 140844
    TCDEP5
     
    Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number   3
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102022
    300 AM MDT Sun Aug 14 2022
     
    The depression is struggling against strong easterly shear, and the 
    exposed low-level circulation center is now about 70 n mi from the  
    edge of its associated deep convection.  The initial intensity is 
    held at 30 kt for this advisory, which is a blend of the latest 
    Dvorak T-numbers from TAFB, SAB, and the UW-CIMSS ADT.
    
    The shear impacting the cyclone is forecast to increase even more 
    over the next day or so.  The combination of this shear and dry 
    mid-level air entraining into the depression's circulation is 
    expected to disrupt the development of significant deep convection 
    near its center.  GFS and ECMWF simulated satellite imagery suggest 
    that perhaps a short-lived diurnal cycle of convection could develop 
    near the center of the depression later this morning.  Thereafter, 
    those models suggest the system will degenerate into a remnant low, 
    and the NHC forecast indicates that the depression should become a 
    remnant low as soon as tonight.  With an anticipated lack of 
    appreciable deep convection near the cyclone's center, no 
    strengthening is forecast. The system is expected to slowly weaken 
    early this week and dissipate by midweek.  
    
    The depression's low-level circulation has slowed its forward 
    motion and is now moving at 295/5 kt to the southwest of a low- to 
    mid-level ridge. This motion is expected to continue through today. 
    As the cyclone loses its convection, a turn westward then 
    west-southwestward is expected as the system becomes steered by the 
    surrounding low-level flow.  The latest NHC track forecast remains 
    very similar to the previous one and is close to the multi-model 
    consensus aids.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  14/0900Z 18.4N 112.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
     12H  14/1800Z 18.5N 113.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  15/0600Z 18.5N 114.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     36H  15/1800Z 18.4N 114.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  16/0600Z 18.2N 115.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     60H  16/1800Z 18.0N 115.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  17/0600Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Latto
    2022-8-14 06:16 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 28
    EP, 10, 2022081412,   , BEST,   0, 182N, 1129W,  30, 1007, TD,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1011,  120,  30,  40,   0,   E,   0,    ,   0,   0,        TEN, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 015, 
    2022-8-15 06:04 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 29

    WTPN31 PHNC 141600
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN) WARNING NR 004//
    RMKS/
    1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN) WARNING NR 004
       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       141200Z --- NEAR 18.3N 112.9W
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 112.9W
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       150000Z --- 18.5N 113.6W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       24 HRS, VALID AT:
       151200Z --- 18.5N 114.2W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       36 HRS, VALID AT:
       160000Z --- 18.3N 114.8W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
       48 HRS, VALID AT:
       161200Z --- 18.1N 115.3W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
        ---
       60 HRS, VALID AT:
       170000Z --- 18.0N 116.0W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
       VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
        ---
       72 HRS, VALID AT:
       171200Z --- 18.0N 117.0W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
        ---
    REMARKS:
    141600Z POSITION NEAR 18.4N 113.1W.
    14AUG22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 893
    NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
    AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
    HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142200Z, 150400Z,
    151000Z AND 151600Z.
    //
    NNNN
    WTPZ45 KNHC 141438
    TCDEP5
     
    Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number   4
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102022
    900 AM MDT Sun Aug 14 2022
     
    There has been little change in the structure of the tropical
    depression since the previous advisory.  The center remains exposed
    to the northeast of the associated deep convection due to the
    presence of moderate to strong east-northeasterly shear. Since
    there has been no change in the system's organization, the initial
    intensity is held at 30 kt. Some of the objective and subjective
    satellite estimates from TAFB and UW/CIMSS suggest the system could
    be slightly stronger, but given the lack of overall organization it
    is best to stay on the conservative side until scatterometer data
    is potentially available later today.
     
    The vertical wind shear affecting the system is forecast to increase
    within the next 24 hours, and that is likely to prevent
    strengthening. Simulated satellite imagery from the global models
    suggest bursts of deep convection are likely to continue over the
    western portion of the circulation through tonight. After that time,
    the system is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low and gradual
    weakening should occur through midweek.
     
    The cyclone is moving west-northwestward at about 4 kt. A low- to
    mid-level ridge to the north of the depression is expected to cause
    the cyclone to turn westward later today.  As the low weakens it is
    forecast to turn west-southwestward within the low-level flow. The
    new NHC track forecast is again similar to the previous advisory
    and is close to the various consensus aids.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  14/1500Z 18.3N 113.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
     12H  15/0000Z 18.5N 113.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  15/1200Z 18.5N 114.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     36H  16/0000Z 18.3N 114.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  16/1200Z 18.1N 115.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     60H  17/0000Z 18.0N 116.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  17/1200Z 18.0N 117.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     96H  18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    2022-8-15 06:07 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 30
    EP, 10, 2022081418,   , BEST,   0, 180N, 1132W,  30, 1007, TD,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1012,  120,  30,  40,   0,   E,   0,    ,   0,   0,        TEN, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 015, 
    2022-8-15 06:08 回复
返回
发新帖