2209号台风“马鞍”(10W.Ma-on) 热带气旋档案

CMG ygsj24 2022-8-15 08:00 1005

最新回复 (64)
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 61

    WTPN31 PGTW 250900
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 016//
    RMKS/
    1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 016
       02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       250600Z --- NEAR 21.8N 110.1E
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
         SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 110.1E
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       251800Z --- 22.5N 106.5E
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 19 KTS
        ---
       24 HRS, VALID AT:
       260600Z --- 23.0N 102.5E
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
        ---
    REMARKS:
    250900Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 109.2E.
    25AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
    WEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
    OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED RADAR DATA CONFIRMS THAT TS 10W MADE
    LANDFALL JUST SOUTHWEST OF YANGJIANG, CHINA AT 250200Z AND HAS SINCE
    RAPIDLY MOVED INLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
    DEPICTS A SHEARED SYSTEM, WITH THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED
    TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE INCREASINGLY DIFFUSE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
    CENTER (LLCC). THE MSI, ANIMATED RADAR DATA AND ANALYSIS OF SURFACE
    WIND OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE REGION PROVIDED HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE
    INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS ASSESSED WITH
    MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON AN RJTD OVER LAND DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
    ESTIMATE OF T3.0, AND MSLP OBSERVATIONS SURROUNDING THE CENTER WITH
    NUMEROUS SITES REPORTING 995MB. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
    MOVING A RAPID CLIP TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
    OF A DEEP SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH, SKIRTING JUST NORTH OF
    THE GULF OF TONKIN SHORELINE, CROSSING FAR NORTHERN VIETNAM AND
    ULTIMATELY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT CYCLONE OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN
    CHINA NO LATER THAN TAU 24. WHILE NOT LIKELY AT THIS TIME, THERE
    REMAINS A SMALL CHANCE THE SYSTEM COULD DUCK DOWN AND TOUCH ITS FEET
    INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN BETWEEN AND TAU 12. IF THIS OCCURS HOWEVER, IT
    WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND UNLIKELY TO LEAD TO ANY REINTENSIFICATION OF
    THE SYSTEM. SO WHILE THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
    JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI, THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
    MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W
    (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
    NNNN
    2022-8-25 08:38 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 62
    WP, 10, 2022082512,   , BEST,   0, 218N, 1082E,  40,  993, TS,  34, NEQ,    0,   95,   85,    0, 1002,  125,  30,   0,   0,   W,   0,    ,   0,   0,      MA-ON, M, 
    2022-8-26 04:26 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 63
    WP, 10, 2022082518,   , BEST,   0, 219N, 1067E,  35,  997, TS,  34, NEQ,   65,  105,  120,   85, 1003,  125,  30,   0,   0,   W,   0,    ,   0,   0,      MA-ON,  , 
    2022-8-26 04:27 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 64
    WP, 10, 2022082600,   , BEST,   0, 215N, 1049E,  20, 1002, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1004,  125,   0,   0,   0,   W,   0,    ,   0,   0,      MA-ON,  , 
    2022-8-26 04:52 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 65
    WP, 10, 2022082606,   , BEST,   0, 218N, 1027E,  20, 1002, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1003,   95,   0,   0,   0,   W,   0,    ,   0,   0,      MA-ON,  , 
    2022-8-26 05:34 回复
返回
发新帖