坎佩切湾潜在热带气旋04L 热带气旋档案

CMG ygsj24 2022-8-19 08:00 832

最新回复 (21)
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 11
    AL, 04, 2022081918,   , BEST,   0, 204N,  940W,  30, 1009, DB,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1012,  120,  80,  35,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 016, TRANSITIONED, alA92022 to al042022, 
    2022-8-20 06:06 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 12

    WTNT01 KNGU 192100
    -
    WTNT44 KNHC 192052
    TCDAT4
     
    Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Discussion Number   1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042022
    400 PM CDT Fri Aug 19 2022
    
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with the broad low pressure 
    area in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico have become better 
    organized during the last 24 h, and reports from an Air Force 
    Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate winds near 30 kt.  
    However, both the aircraft and scatterometer data show that 
    the disturbance does not yet have a well-defined circulation 
    center.  Since the system is likely to develop further and make 
    landfall as a tropical storm in less than 36 h, advisories are 
    being initiated on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four with Tropical 
    Storm Warnings being issued for portions of the coasts of 
    northeastern Mexico and south Texas.
    
    The initial motion is a somewhat uncertain 315/12.  The disturbance 
    is on the southwest side of a subtropical ridge, and a general 
    northwest motion should continue until the system moves inland over 
    northeastern Mexico.  The track guidance is tightly clustered, and 
    the forecast track lies close to the various consensus models.
    
    The disturbance is in an environment of light westerly vertical 
    shear, and this should continue until landfall.  This should allow 
    continued development until the system reaches the coast, and the 
    official intensity forecast calls for a peak intensity of 40 kt 
    near landfall.  It should be noted, though, that the global models 
    do not develop the system significantly before landfall, and if 
    they are correct any development could be slower than currently 
    forecast.  The system will weaken after landfall, and by 60 h it 
    is forecast to be absorbed into a larger low pressure area forming 
    over western and northern Texas.
    
    
    KEY MESSAGES:
    
    1. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of 
    northeastern Mexico and southern Texas on Saturday, where a Tropical 
    Storm Warning has been issued.
    
    2. Rains from the system may begin to affect the eastern coast of 
    Mexico from northern Veracruz into southern Tamaulipas tonight into 
    early Saturday.  This rainfall may produce life threatening flash 
    flooding and mudslides.  Rain from this system may move into far 
    south Texas during the day on Saturday.  
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  19/2100Z 20.7N  94.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
     12H  20/0600Z 22.0N  95.6W   35 KT  40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
     24H  20/1800Z 23.8N  96.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
     36H  21/0600Z 25.6N  98.1W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
     48H  21/1800Z 27.1N  99.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
     60H  22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    最后于 2022-8-20 12:32 被ygsj24编辑 ,原因:
    2022-8-20 06:06 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 13
    AL, 04, 2022082000,   , BEST,   0, 213N,  949W,  30, 1009, DB,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1012,  120,  80,  40,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       FOUR, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 016, 
    2022-8-20 12:25 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 14

    WTNT01 KNGU 200300 COR    
    SUBJ:  POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L) WARNING NR 002 COR    
    1. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L) WARNING NR 002    
       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       200000Z --- NEAR 21.3N 94.9W
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       FORMATION AS TROPICAL CYCLONE LIKELY
       REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 94.9W
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       201200Z --- 23.2N 96.3W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS
        ---
       24 HRS, VALID AT:
       210000Z --- 25.1N 97.6W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS
        ---
       36 HRS, VALID AT:
       211200Z --- 26.9N 99.1W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
    REMARKS:
    200300Z POSITION NEAR 21.8N 95.2W.
    20AUG22. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L), LOCATED
    APPROXIMATELY 294 NM NORTH OF TEHUANTEPEC, HAS TRACKED
    NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
    THERE ARE NO 12 FT SEAS
    MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT
    WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.
    //
    BT
    #0001
    NNNN
    WTNT44 KNHC 200231
    TCDAT4
     
    Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Discussion Number   2
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042022
    1000 PM CDT Fri Aug 19 2022
     
    Based on the current infrared and microwave satellite data, the 
    system does not appear to have a closed surface circulation yet and 
    is therefore still not a tropical cyclone.  The mid-level center is 
    estimated to be located in the southwestern portion of the deep 
    convection.  Since there has been little change in organization 
    after the Air Force reconnaissance left the system, the initial 
    intensity is held at 30 kt based on that data.
     
    The disturbance is moving northwestward at 12 kt.  This general
    motion is expected to continue until landfall Saturday night in
    northeastern Mexico as the system is steered by a ridge to its
    northeast.  The official track forecast is very similar to the
    previous advisory prediction and closest to the correct consensus
    model guidance.
     
    Slight strengthening of the system is expected before landfall. 
    Global models predict the vertical wind shear to increase in the 
    next day or so, which should limit future organization and 
    strengthening of the disturbance.  The NHC intensity forecast 
    continues to show a peak of 40 kt before the system reaches the 
    coast.  It is worth noting that this intensity prediction is 
    slightly above the guidance envelope.  After moving inland, the 
    system is expected to weaken rapidly and dissipate within 48 hours 
    near the Texas/Mexico border.
     
     
    KEY MESSAGES:
     
    1. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of
    northeastern Mexico and southern Texas on Saturday, where a Tropical
    Storm Warning has been issued.
     
    2. Rains from the disturbance may begin to affect the eastern coast 
    of Mexico, from northern Veracruz across parts of Tamaulipas and 
    Nuevo Leon, during the day Saturday. This rainfall may produce 
    life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Heavy rain may also 
    move to the far south Texas coast through Saturday night, producing 
    local flash, urban, and small stream flood impacts.  
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  20/0300Z 21.8N  95.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
     12H  20/1200Z 23.2N  96.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
     24H  21/0000Z 25.1N  97.6W   40 KT  45 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
     36H  21/1200Z 26.9N  99.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
     48H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Bucci/Cangialosi
    2022-8-20 12:30 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 15
    AL, 04, 2022082006,   , BEST,   0, 222N,  955W,  30, 1010, DB,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1012,  120,  80,  40,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       FOUR, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 016, 
    2022-8-20 06:11 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 16

    WTNT01 KNGU 200900 SUBJ: POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L) WARNING NR 003 1. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z --- NEAR 22.2N 95.5W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY FORMATION AS TROPICAL CYCLONE LIKELY REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N 95.5W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 24.4N 96.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 26.3N 98.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 27.5N 99.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 200900Z POSITION NEAR 22.8N 95.8W. 20AUG22. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 348 NM NORTH OF TEHUANTEPEC, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE ARE NO 12 FT SEAS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z, 202100Z, 210300Z AND 210900Z. // BT #0001 NNNN
    WTNT44 KNHC 200832
    TCDAT4
     
    Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Discussion Number   3
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042022
    400 AM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022
     
    We have a much better view of the low clouds on the western side 
    of the disturbance in proxy-visible satellite imagery than we did 
    last evening when they were obscured by high-level cirrus, and the 
    low clouds' south-to-north motion just off the coast of Mexico 
    suggests that the disturbance still does not have a closed surface 
    circulation.  However, a mid-level circulation remains evident and 
    is the focus of a recent resurgence in deep convection.  It is 
    assumed that the maximum winds in the system are still 30 kt, but 
    an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance flight scheduled for later this 
    morning should give us a better idea of the disturbance's structure 
    and intensity.
    
    The disturbance continues to move northwestward at 12 kt, and model 
    guidance is in fairly good agreement that a steady northwestward or 
    north-northwestward motion should continue for the next 24 hours or 
    so.  This trajectory should bring the system inland near or just 
    south of the mouth of the Rio Grande late this afternoon or evening, 
    which is the same scenario that has been indicated in previous 
    advisories.
    
    There remains uncertainty if the disturbance will be able to 
    develop a closed surface circulation--and become a tropical 
    cyclone--before it reaches the coast later today.  At best, the 
    global models are resolving a well-defined vorticity maximum at 
    about 5000 ft above the surface and perhaps a surface trough near 
    the coast of Mexico, but none of them explicitly show the 
    development of a well-defined surface circulation.  As long as deep 
    convection continues, however, it could spur the development of a 
    surface center before reaching the coast.  That said, the new NHC 
    forecast now only shows the system reaching a peak intensity of 35 
    kt, which is still above all of the guidance.  A remnant low 
    position is provided at 36 hours for continuity, but it's more 
    likely that the system will have dissipated by then--if it even 
    forms at all.
     
     
    KEY MESSAGES:
     
    1. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of
    northeastern Mexico and southern Texas this afternoon and evening, 
    where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect.
     
    2. Rains from the disturbance may begin to affect the eastern coast 
    of Mexico, from northern Veracruz across parts of Tamaulipas and 
    Nuevo Leon, today.  This rainfall may produce flash flooding.  
    Heavy rain may also move to the far south Texas coast through Sunday 
    morning, producing local flash, urban, and small stream flood 
    impacts.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  20/0900Z 22.8N  95.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
     12H  20/1800Z 24.4N  96.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
     24H  21/0600Z 26.3N  98.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
     36H  21/1800Z 27.5N  99.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    2022-8-20 06:13 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 17
    AL, 04, 2022082012,   , BEST,   0, 231N,  961W,  30, 1010, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1012,  120,  80,  40,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       FOUR, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 016, 
    2022-8-21 05:41 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 18

    WTNT01 KNGU 201500    
    SUBJ: POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L) WARNING NR 004    
    1. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L) WARNING NR 004    
       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       201200Z --- NEAR 23.1N 96.1W
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       FORMATION AS TROPICAL CYCLONE LIKELY
       REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N 96.1W
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       210000Z --- 25.1N 97.5W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS
        ---
       24 HRS, VALID AT:
       211200Z --- 27.0N 98.7W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
    REMARKS:
    201500Z POSITION NEAR 23.6N 96.4W.
    20AUG22. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L), LOCATED
    APPROXIMATELY 405 NM NORTH OF TEHUANTEPEC, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
    NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
    THERE ARE NO 12 FT SEAS
    MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT
    WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z AND 210900Z.
    //
    BT
    #0001
    NNNN
    WTNT44 KNHC 201432
    TCDAT4
    
    Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Discussion Number   4
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042022
    1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022
    
    Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and satellite images
    indicate that the disturbance over the western Gulf of Mexico
    remains disorganized.  Flight-level wind data confirms that the
    system is still a surface trough that is not far offshore of the
    Gulf coast of Mexico.  It should be noted that the initial position
    in the advisory is based on extrapolation of the mid-level center.
    The initial intensity remains 30 kt based on the aircraft data and
    Dvorak estimates.
    
    The chances of the disturbance becoming a tropical cyclone appear
    to be decreasing.  Regardless of the system's status, the overall
    impacts are expected to be the same.  Winds to tropical storm force
    and heavy rains are expected to spread across northeastern Mexico
    and southern Texas later today and continue into Sunday.  After the
    system moves inland, quick weakening is expected and the
    disturbance is forecast to dissipate by Sunday night over southern
    Texas.
    
    The overall envelope of the shower and thunderstorm activity is
    moving northwestward at about 11 kt.  This motion is expected to
    continue until the system dissipates in 24 to 36 hours.
    
    KEY MESSAGES:
    
    1. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of
    northeastern Mexico and southern Texas this afternoon and evening,
    where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect.
    
    2. Rains from the disturbance may begin to affect the eastern coast
    of Mexico, from northern Veracruz across parts of Tamaulipas and
    Nuevo Leon, today.  This rainfall may produce flash flooding.
    Heavy rain may also move to the far south Texas coast through Sunday
    morning, producing local flash, urban, and small stream flood
    impacts.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  20/1500Z 23.6N  96.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
    12H  21/0000Z 25.1N  97.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
    24H  21/1200Z 27.0N  98.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
    36H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
    
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto
    2022-8-21 05:42 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 19
    AL, 04, 2022082018,   , BEST,   0, 241N,  970W,  30, 1010, DB,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1012,  120,  80,  40,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       FOUR, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 016, 
    2022-8-21 05:43 回复
  • ygsj24 CMG
    0 引用 20

    WTNT01 KNGU 202100    
    SUBJ: POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L) WARNING NR 005    
    1. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L) WARNING NR 005    
       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       201800Z --- NEAR 24.1N 97.0W
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       FORMATION AS TROPICAL CYCLONE LIKELY
       REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N 97.0W
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       210600Z --- 26.3N 98.6W
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
    REMARKS:
    202100Z POSITION NEAR 24.6N 97.3W.
    20AUG22. POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR (04L), LOCATED
    APPROXIMATELY 467 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, HAS TRACKED
    NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
    THERE ARE NO 12 FT SEAS
    MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 7 FEET. NEXT
    WARNINGS AT 210300Z.
    //
    BT
    #0001
    NNNN
    WTNT44 KNHC 202033
    TCDAT4
     
    Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Discussion Number   5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042022
    400 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022
     
    Satellite images, surface observations, and a recent ASCAT-B pass
    indicate that the disturbance has not become any better organized
    this afternoon and still resembles a surface trough with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms over the western Gulf of
    Mexico.  The ASCAT data showed maximum winds of about 30 kt, and
    therefore, the initial intensity is held at that value.
     
    The chances of this system becoming a tropical storm continue to
    decrease as the trough is expected to move inland this evening.
    Even though the system will probably fall short of becoming a
    tropical cyclone, the expected impacts are unchanged as heavy rains
    and winds to tropical storm force, especially in gusts, are expected
    to spread across northeastern Mexico and southern Texas during the
    next several hours.  After landfall, the disturbance is expected to
    weaken and dissipate on Sunday.
     
    The disturbance continues to move northwestward at 12 kt on the
    southwest side of a subtropical ridge, and that motion should
    continue until the system dissipates on Sunday.
     
     
    KEY MESSAGES:
     
    1. Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are expected
    across portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas this
    evening and tonight, where a Tropical Storm Warning remains in
    effect.
     
    2. Rain from the disturbance are beginning to affect the
    northeastern coast of Mexico across the state of Tamaulipas. This
    rainfall could produce isolated flash flooding. The system could 
    also produce isolated moderate to heavy rainfall across portions of 
    South Texas, but significant flooding impacts are not expected 
    there.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  20/2100Z 24.4N  97.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
     12H  21/0600Z 26.3N  98.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
     24H  21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
    2022-8-21 05:44 回复
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